Thursday, October 9, 2003

Arnold is in. Here are the results as of today.



Arnold Schwarzenegger---Rep---3,744,132---48.7

Cruz M. Bustamante-------Dem---2,434,484---31.7

Tom McClintock--------------Rep---1,026,704---13.4

Peter Miguel Camejo-------Grn---213,087-----2.8



Just for comparison here are the results from the Nov. 2002 election.



Gray Davis--------------Dem---3,469,025---47.4

Bill Simon----------------Rep---3,105,477---42.4

Reinhold S. Gulke------AmI---125,338------1.7

Peter Miguel Camejo--Grn----381,700------5.3



The biggest loser? Well I nominate The Green Party of California. They have to start over.



The Green Party of Cali needs to find a better guy than Camejo.



Maybe the 1976 Socialist Workers Party presidential canidate is not the guy you should turn to.



I really thought they would get more of the vote after what seemed to be a boost from the Nader presidential run. I know of more people and see more stickers for the Green Party than ever. Maybe they are all now Democrats again after the Dean campaign started.



They really had a lot of attention for their guy, as he was in the big televised debates, but 2.8 percent is not that good, less than Nov 02, they need to say bye bye to Camejo.



Of course I live in an area that didn't exactly go along with the rest of California. While San Francisco voter turnout percentage was not that high, they were the 13th lowest of the 58 counties, they led the way on the no on recall vote. 81 percent was by far the most no on recall vote in the state.



The lowest turnout? Imperial in southern California only 39.4 percent bothered.



I don't think there is a lot of support for Davis in SF, if Boxer would have been on the ballot it would have been yes on the recall and a vote for Boxer. But coming from DC to Sacramento to be a Gov would be a pretty big step down.



The interesting thing to see is how some Republicans in the state and on a National scale are claiming Arnold as their guy and the comparisons to Regan. Arnold is not exactly Trent Lott. Or Limbaugh. He is so progressive on social issues he has way more in common with the D's than the national R's. That could get him in trouble. Since he is a R he will get heat from the D's just because. Since he is so not in line with party policy he will get heat from the meathead R's even if things like abortion are a national issue.



Not to mention the LA Times who will hammer him until he leaves office.



If he stumbles both parties will hit him really hard because he isn't one of them, and they both will want one of their own to take his place.



The R's have a big chance here to progress the party to a more up to date view on social issues. I doubt they will. The D's can erase the memory of Grey by working to make California work again. I doubt they will.



Here are some big questions:



What will the R's be like when Arnold leaves?

If they are still the country club set that would be too bad. This is their big chance.



What will the D's be like when Arnold leaves?

If they stomp their feet and blame everyone else while doing whatever it takes to get votes that would be too bad. They can look like heros now and get away from the nitwit that was the Gov.



Will they? Unfortunately I think no and no.



The most yes on recall county? Sutter in north central Califronia at 77.5 percent.

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